耶伦携小非农登场 现货黄金如何应对
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周三欧市盘中，国际现货黄金仍静待今晚小非农数据和美联储主席耶伦的讲话，总体走势震荡平稳。由于昨夜美国经济数据普遍低于市场预期，因此黄金在黄金仍然维持在1330下方，正等待机会向上突破。
【基本面分析】
周三晚间，美国将公布6月ADP私人部门就业报告。该数据对非农数据有预示作用，人称“小非农”。市场预期料6月美国6月ADP就业人数增幅自上月的17.9万人上升至20.3万人。因为ADP与非农之间有较强的关联度，假如前者数据较好，则可能预示非农也会表现不错，这对美元会构成利好。相反，若ADP就业数据差于市场预期，则会利空美元，而利好黄金，
另外，美联储主席耶伦将在今晚出席国际货币基金组织的活动上讲话。在上次的FOMC会议上，美联储削减了对经济增长的预期。耶伦在回答媒体提问时，还将通胀描述为“杂音”，可见耶伦的货币政策并不会受到短期内的通胀数据所影响。而最新数据显示，美国一季度GDP意外大幅萎缩2.9%；而5月CPI年率飙升至2.1%，PCE物价年率也升至了1.8%。市场将密切关注耶伦对经济和通胀的最新看法。若耶伦仍然坚持推迟加息时点这一观点，则黄金很可能将于今晚突破前期高位1330.
【技术分析】
由伦敦金的走势上看，伦敦金日内的上攻势头并不算凌厉，最大的原因除了市场在小非农就业数据出炉之前，态度偏向谨慎之外，另一个原因在于近期黄金的涨幅过大，引起部分获利盘出逃，加上1330的压力较大，在技术角度上看仍需要震荡蓄势方可突破。
日内支撑位：1325 1322 1319
日内压力位：1327 1332 1338
由于近期黄金持续上攻，总体趋势以上行为主，均线呈现多头排列，下方周线级别的支撑力度较强，虽然KDJ,RSI等指标有超买迹象，但是我们认为仍然应该顺势而为，因此日内仍然坚持以做多为主。若黄金回调到1320支撑位，我们大田贵金属建议投资者可以趁低吸纳，盈利目标1327，止损4美金。而若黄金顺势突破1332压力位置，也可以小量追高，盈利目标1340，止损5美金。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.