联储官员放鸽 现货黄金维持盘整
关键字：本日亚盘现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
本日亚盘时段，国际现货黄金价格于1326美元/盎司开盘后，随后高开低走，下滑了2美元，整体呈现窄幅下行格局，因日间无重要经济数据推动，金价继续回吐涨幅，美元兑非美货币维持窄幅整理，亚市尾盘时段，现货黄金价格以震荡行情为主，日内波幅不超5美元。
【基本面分析】
美联储官员杜德利发表讲话，美联储何时加息，关键在于美国的经济发展前景，在美联储决定结束此轮的量化宽松政策后观察较长一段时间才开始讨论加息日程，需观察就业市场人数、通胀上升速度、还要取决于金融市场对货币收紧措施的反应强度，以免造成股票或债券短期走高后面临泡沫破裂的风险。
杜德利同时表示，现今美国房地产市场面临的增速压力相当大，短期利率的最终水平可能低于历史的平均值。同时均衡利率水平也受美国人口老龄化和劳动力增速放缓拖累，美联储通胀目标中对应的联邦基金利率将显著降低。美联储在降低国家劳动力闲置率和货币政策正常化方面还有很长的路有走，且距离考虑加息的时间还很长。
关注全球最大黄金基金ETF的持仓情况，据彭博数据显示，今年一季度黄金ETF净流出量为零，而去年同期净流出177吨。同时，近期黄金ETF持仓量开始有企稳的迹象，过去三周的总持仓量一直企稳在1715吨附近，说明投资者对国际金价走势的信心有所改善。周一和周二的黄金ETF持有量增加了1.4%至796.39吨，创下2011年11月以来最大的两天增持量。而去年在国际金价大跌时期，黄金ETF流出了550吨。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看，本日亚盘金价开出短阴线，布林轨道开口维持向上运行，均线系统呈多头排列，而5日均线出现走平运行，附图指标MACD形成金叉后，红色动能柱持续缩减，KDJ于超买区运行，金价上行动力明显，但上方受空方压制的力度十分大。从4小时图上看，金价在昨日收盘时段收取阳线后，均线系统粘合后向上发散，布林轨道开口向上运行，而附图指标KDJ和RSI上冲到超买区后拐头向下，短时来看震荡走势较为明显，大田贵金属建议投资者于金价回踩到1322下方可进场做多，目标1328，止损5美元，若金价成功打开上行空间至1333上方后，也可进场做多，目标1339，止损为1329。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.