英央行加息保持谨慎 现货黄金区间盘整
关键词：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周五亚市早盘黄金现货价格有小幅上涨，但仍然受到亚洲地区疲软需求的影响，最高涨至1322美元/盎司，但此后回落至最低1317美元/盎司，午市至1319美元/盎司附近波动。周四美国数据总体上保持平稳，由于乌克兰与反政府启动和平谈判，市场避险情绪略减，美元指数盘中反弹，所以无太大消息面刺激黄金一直在小幅震荡回调。
【基本面分析】
在欧洲方面，周五英国央行行长卡尼表示，对抵押贷款者获得的贷款较其收入比实施更加严格的限制会损害住房市场。英国央行金融政策委员会表示，从10月份开始，将只允许15%的新抵押贷款达到借款者收入的4.5倍。在被问到央行限制抵押贷款三倍于收入会产生什么影响时，卡尼称，目前已经签署的抵押贷款将会有超过一半受到限制。卡尼说道：“在我们看来，这不仅会放缓住房市场(增长)，还会扭转房市，并会对复苏产生影响。”此外，卡尼还重申，利率在未来三年将达到2.5%，这与央行逐步而有限的升息是一致的。
在美联储官员接连发表鹰派讲话，放出提前加息信号后。周五全球市场又迎来众多数据考验。投资者需要关注美国和加拿大方面的数据，近来加元受国内通胀走高影响，持续走高，加拿大的工业品物价指数也是本周加拿大公布的唯一一个能够指引加元走势的数据。美国方面的密歇根大学消费信心指数，也能给市场带来一定的影响。此外，不能忽视的是虽然伊拉克和乌克兰的局势近来有所缓解，但是突发的地缘政治事件也会对金融市场造成影响。
【技术分析】
昨日黄金下跌过程中获1306支撑反弹，上冲力度不强，仍维持在1322-1304的周期。从4小时图线分析，反复震荡，上涨趋势减弱。从日线图来看，金价依旧维持于高位整理，布林开口向上，MA5和MA10上穿各日内均线MA30/MA60/265/120形成金叉放量，但5日均线维持走平，附图指标MACD红色动能衰减，表示价格短期内依然在1310-1320之间盘整。交易建议短线区间内操作，1308附近做多，目标盈利1315，止损6美元。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.