数据符合市场预期 黄金现货低位震荡
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周四纽约时段,国际现货黄金在早盘出现了一波下跌之后,触及日内低点1309,但是在1310一线的强大支持下,黄金再度出现震荡上升走势,最终修复1315压力位,日内总体呈现震荡整理走势。
【基本面分析】
美国商务部(DOC)周四公布的数据显示,美国5月个人消费支出月率增长0.2%,预期增长0.4%,前值修正为持平,初值下跌0.1%,促使分析师下调美国二季度经济增长预期。美国劳工部(DOL)周四公布的数据显示,美国6月21日当周季调后初请失业金人数减少0.2万人至31.2万人,预期31.0万人,前值修正为31.4万人。
美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周四表示,美国就业市场的增长“超出预期”,并且大多数经济数据显示美国经济正在走强。美国里奇蒙联邦储主席莱克则表示,美联储(FED)的逆回购协议只应被用作暂时性措施,而不应是长期战略。 他预期美国下半年经济增速为2.25-2.5%,升息时间可能在明年年中。但是总体上看,这些消息仍未能为黄金市场带来方向性指引。
【技术分析】
由本周的黄金日K线图上看,黄金的震荡走势相当明显,而多空双方均是围绕着1315至1320一线展开拉锯战,所以本周中黄金有连续多次收出了带长上下影线的十字K线,而作为短期走势参考的5日均线可以说是彻底走平,所以日内黄金并没有明确的方向走势,按照近期笔者的推荐做法,则是顺势而为,毕竟现在黄金仍然缺乏决定性利好,而1330附近的三个月高位仍然具备较强阻力,而下方1308位置则是周线支撑位,具备强大的支撑力度,所以在这种情况下,投资者要做的就是逢低做多。
日内支撑位:1315 1308 1300
日内压力位:1320 1326 1330
由近期黄金的走势上看,如果一味持有多单或者空单,都不是明智的选择,在这种横盘震荡的走势当中,投资者需要的就是抓稳节奏,由于黄金下方具备强大的支撑力,短期内若无重大利空出现,投资者可以逢低做多,尤其是黄金回调到1310下方,触及强支撑位置1308的时候则可以进场做多,盈利目标1315,止损6美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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