6.26国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:6.25国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
昨晚纽约时段,国际现货黄金价格由于受到美国方面的经济数据影响,价格上冲到日内高点1325位置,而周三晚间最新公布的数据显示,美国第一季度GDP终值年化率由此前的下降1%大幅下修为下降2.9%,为经济衰退结束五年来最严重的一次滑坡,远低于市场预期,本次GDP下修幅度为有记录以来最大。这一消息直接刺激了市场的避险情绪,引起伦敦金走势出现上涨。
【基本面分析】
然事先在市场投资者的眼中,隔夜公布的美国一季度终值数据极有可能被再度下修,但显然没有多少人预料到下修幅度能如此巨大。美国商务部周三公布的数据显示,一季度美国GDP终值环比下降2.9%, 远低于预期,初值为下降1%。本次GDP下修幅度为有记录以来(1976年开始)最大。随着消费者支出减少,美国经济创出了2009年以来最差季度表现。
如此低迷的数据表现,证明了此前美联储和IMF等官方下调2014去年美国GDP增速预估的准确性和必要性。而对于金融市场而言,也在第一时间遭遇了猛烈冲击,糟糕的美国经济数据意味着美联储实施宽松货币政策的时间更长,这对于黄金来说将是一个较大的利好。
【技术分析】
由我们对金价走势分析所得,黄金在昨日欧洲时段曾经出现一波下跌,最低回落到1310支撑位置,而最高点则处于近期压力位置1325,最终日线收出带长上下影线的小阳线,布林带开口仍然向上,行情运行在布林带上轨区域,MACD红柱缩短,行情仍然处于反弹的区间内,预示着黄金短期内仍然具备上行动力,但是上方压力较强,打开上行空间仍然需要时间。若内日回调昨日低位1310,炒金的投资者则可以进场做多,盈利目标1321,止损6美金。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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