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现货黄金陷入回调 市场静候联储会议指引

关键字:本日现货黄金行情

【行情回顾】

本日亚盘时段,国际现货黄金价格出现大幅下行,亚盘最低价录得1263.22美元/盎司,由于日内没有进一步消息面的推动,国际金价继续回调,并一举向下突破关键支撑区域1267-1270,另外全球最大黄金ETF的持仓量周一小幅减少。风险资产如股票、商品货币等交投也较为清淡,市场正静候为期两日美联储货币政策的最新指引,导致风险偏好下滑。

【基本面分析】

据外媒报道,迪拜黄金和商品交易所(DGCX)首席执行官Gary Anderson称,DGCX将在2014年年底前发布现货黄金合约和一系列商品、股票和货币衍生品的合约。负责人表示,将在接下的2到3个月内发布现货黄金合约。目前全球40%的黄金交易是通过迪拜进行的,因迪拜有着活跃的黄金进口、加工和出口以及衍生品市场,而目前欠缺的就是实物现货黄金交易和基准管理。此次现货黄金合约的发布被认为将帮助迪拜成为全球黄金价格发现中心之一。

欧洲方面,上周英国央行行长卡尼宣布可能早于市场预期上调利率,这促使加大投资者持有黄金的成本,资金从金市出逃,削弱了金价的下档支撑力,但整个欧元区仍处于负存款利率的局面,短期内黄金得到欧元区的买盘支撑,直到欧元区上调利率。

【技术分析】

日线图上看,金价在亚市午盘的回落已经跌破了6月5日低点开始的上行趋势线,并重回3月高点以来的下行趋势线下方,后市倾向于再度高位做空,下方关键支撑位关注1260美元/盎司,上方则关注1270和1280美元/盎司阻力。4小时图来看,金价走势在经历回调后轻微上涨,穿过30日均线1266,布林轨道走平,附图指标MACD快慢线掉头向下,红色动能柱减弱,Stoch线位于超卖区运行,快线或于慢线形成金叉,大田贵金属建议轻仓开单操作为主。

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