黄金现货持续强势 或摆脱美元压制
关键字:黄金现货走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘中,在经历了日内整理之后,黄金于欧洲时段再度上攻1275压力点位,并刷新日内高点。但是,在1275上方的压力较强,黄金能否顺利突破该压力点位还是要看晚间美国公布的消费者信心指数等一系列数据。
【基本面分析】
金价走强,就意味着美元失势,美联储拼命想把金价打下去。但是,最近金价走势已经与美元走势发生了背离,尽管美元指数上升,金价却依然走高,开始脱离美元的影响。而经过多年的养精蓄锐,目前美元指数已经开始走强,显露出一股杀气。国内也有不少人在助威叫好,认为随着美元指数走高,国内一定会有大量资金回流美国,房地产面临崩盘,国内经济面临崩溃。
因为金价走强,对美元产生较为不利的影响,加上欧元区退出的量化宽松政策,也影响了美联储的政策制定,毕竟弱势的美元将会有利于美国的经济复苏。也有人说这是因为金价跟着欧元的步伐走,由于欧洲央行开始实行宽松货币政策,所以推动金价走高。然而,无论如何,美国人的指挥棒已经指挥不动金价了。所以,近期黄金的走势大有点我行我素的味道,而欧洲的量化宽松政策也给了黄金走强的底气,面对欧洲方面的货币攻势,美联储或许也不能仅仅考虑自己国家的复苏状况,这就给了黄金走强的理由。
【技术分析】
从现货黄金日线图上来,目前均线5、10、20、均线多头排列,上方阻力位置60天均线的位置1287美元一线,而1280上方由于之前长期横盘,也构成较大的压力,目前布林线成为黄金的强支撑位,而MACD红色能量柱也出现了放量,短期内黄金有进一步上涨的迹象。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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