伊拉克乱局再起 现货黄金再现避险光芒
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
乌俄乱局尚未解决，伊拉克方面的局势也再度陷入混乱当中，可谓一波未平，一波又起。而黄金作为世界上最重要的避险品种，在地缘政治因素的提振之下，昨日录得了一个半月以来的最大涨幅，最终收于1270位置上方。
【基本面分析】
因担忧伊拉克局势对原油供应造成影响，周四油价跳涨至9个月高位。而在奥巴马称不排除发生军事打击的言论后，美股迅速重挫，道指跌幅超过100点；金价在避险买盘支撑下上涨。可说伊拉克局势的发展为黄金带来了避险需求，据外媒报道，美国反恐监控组织的情报组表示，已经占领伊拉克北部和中北部大片地区的基地组织现正计划向首都巴格达进军。该组织名为“伊拉克和黎凡特伊斯兰国”。美国副总统拜登周四要求武装分子“迅速安全”地释放49名土耳其公民，这些土耳其公民是在周三于伊北部城市摩苏尔的土耳其领事馆被绑架的。
伊拉克局势日益动荡之际，美国媒体12日报道，奥巴马正在考虑对武装分子发动空袭，协助伊拉克政府平息叛乱。美国国务院12日证实，为防不测，约200名美国承包商已从巴格达撤离。由于这些人员负责培训伊拉克空军操作购自美国的“阿帕奇”直升机及F-16战斗机，这意味着伊拉克空军很可能无法继续使用这些战机打击叛军。但是，这些做法能否在短期内平息战争？市场还是对其抱有疑问。
【技术分析】
黄金在日线图上形成了圆形底，在经历大幅下跌之后出现了一定程度的反弹。从4小时的图上来看，均线系统的上涨排列继续向上发散。MACD指标的快慢线在0轴上方运行，红色动能柱有所增长。RSI指标在80线附近运行，短期内有超卖的迹象，预计日内黄金会在1270上方震荡蓄势。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1268 止盈1275 止损1264
做空：开仓1276 止盈1269 止损1281
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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