现货黄金后市利空 冷对钯金上涨行情
关键字：本日现货黄金价格走势
【基本面分析】
德意志银行表示，贵金属面临的整体宏观环境将继续偏空，因市场始终在经济格局缓和时期选择高风险的投资项目，美国长期实际利率将会上涨，美联储和欧央行的货币政策将在今年下半年带动美元上涨。由下半年的回报率可知，工业金属将获得最佳表现，因美国GDP迅速好转和美联储的结束购债可给予支持，若美国短期利率上升，工业金属往往录得较好表现，其投资回报率将超越能源和贵金属。
在贵金属交易市场中，近期钯金表现非常抢眼，受到今年南非持续近5个月的罢工行为以及汽车制造业的强劲需求的影响，11日纽盘时段初钯金价格刷新862.5美元/盎司的13年半以来的高位，据南非标准银行称，根据数据显示2014年中国前5个月汽车销售同比增长13.8%，销售总量达807万辆，这对钯金价格是非常利好的消息。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价维持于1260-1261间窄幅整理，虽金价向上未触及1268-1270的强势阻力，但现时在没利好消息面的明显推动下建议不可盲目做多，4小时图中关注布林中轨1256的支撑作用，附图指标MACD发出快线下穿慢线形成死叉的看空信号，若下穿中轨，伦敦金价进一步指向下轨位置1250。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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