市场静待非农数据 现货黄金震荡盘整
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘中,国际现货黄金再次出现震荡走高,成功突破1255一线对黄金的压制,但是黄金上方压力位置较多,在缺乏实质性利好的支持下,黄金在5日均线之下窄幅整理,而上方1260位置为近期重要压力位,短期内投资者应该关注该位置的多空争夺状况。
【基本面分析】
近日有报告指出,4月非农就业数据之所以强劲,部分是由于多地遭遇异常寒冷的天气。经济学家们认为,5月非农就业可能出现回撤,因为劳动力需求被压抑。还有一个更为相关的数据——如果算上5月,那么过去一年非农就业月度均值可能为增加19.7万。若就业增长高于这个数值,即使低于4月数据,但这仍将意味着美国就业增长正处于上升轨道。
德意志银行指出,在过去20个月的时间内,有19个月的非农就业数据相比初值都被向上修正,平均上修幅度达到了3.7万人。因此,不出意外的话,4月份的非农就业人数增幅很可能会达到30万或更高的规模,而这也能证实美国经济在经历了冬季恶劣天气的打击后将出现全面的井喷式回升,并且整体经济前景也依旧看好。
【技术分析】
黄金日线图上,整体趋势为多头流向,受欧央行政策影响短线的动能发生了改变,很有可能进一步反弹向上测试压力位,例如1260上方将会是近期黄金多头的重要攻击目标,黄金1小时图上,已经打破了最近4个交易日的低位盘整,短线多头初露锋芒,若今晚非农不如市场预期,则黄金有望再度上扬。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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