乌克兰问题再起 现货黄金有机会
关键字:现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
欧市盘中,现货黄金持稳于1255美元附近。由于日内数据均对黄金影响不大,金市波动有限,市场正静待非农就业数据指引黄金方向。对于今天的非农,市场的主流观点认为由于之前的小非农不给力,本次非农能否达到市场的预期值21.5万成为问题。因此欧洲盘整现货黄金略有上涨。
【基本面分析】
消息人士称,当选总统波罗申科以最后通牒形式要求军方在7日的就职典礼前彻底清除当地民兵武装。乌克兰军队进一步加大对东南部地区的清剿行动,战况激烈。尽管乌克兰政府军大兵压境,但似乎对亲俄武装并不占据太多的优势,甚至亲俄武装还表示击落乌克兰政府军的战机。当地民兵指挥官斯特列尔科夫表示,在激战中,顿涅茨克民兵组织击落了乌军方多架飞机。在卢甘斯克,政府军还丧失了一处基地,军方表示当时已经“弹尽粮绝”。乌克兰局势如此胶着,使得当地局势依然有继续升温的可能,这多少带给市场一些避险情绪。
当然,今晚的主角仍然是美国的非农就业数据,相比于前两个月非农公布前的乐观情绪,此次市场对数据的预期,要显得逊色不少。此前公布的数据显示,素有小非农之称的4月ADP就业人数增加17.9万人,为近四个月以来的新低,且不及市场预期增加21.0万人,这也令市场对于周五的非农数据感到担忧。因此,在近期已经出现下跌企稳的黄金,并非没有做多的理由。
【技术分析】
由黄金近期走势上看,突破1250分水岭的现货黄金短期内已经开始摆脱空头的完全掌控,多头的力量现正不断增强。而由技术指标上看,MACD的绿柱量能持续缩短,预示着黄金多头力量有所活跃,同时,KDJ三线持续回升,也有利于黄金上行。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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