实物需求缺失 现货黄金持续走弱
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
在经历了连续多日大跌之后，今天亚市早盘，现货黄金出现了弱势反弹，反弹力度羸弱，市场上空头气氛相当浓厚。由于黄金自跌破1300整数关口以来已经开启了新的下跌通道，加上美国经济数据表现优异，预计短期内黄金走势将难有起色。
【基本面分析】
跌至四个月新低的国际金价，也让去年疯狂购金的中国大妈们再度回本无望。2013年黄金下跌近28%，创1981年来最大年跌幅，而国际黄金长达12年牛市宣告终结。早在去年4月，千足金价格下调致使中国大妈疯狂买入，这也让她们一战成名。然而一年时间过去，大妈们悉数套牢。据统计，从去年4月13日至今年4月3日，一年时间内京城金价从385元大幅下跌至316元，跌幅近18%。据黄金协会数据，2013年4月爆发抢金潮后，中国大妈在二季度消费385.82吨黄金，上半年金条消费大增86.5%。
由于中国投资者买入的时机不甚理想，基本被套牢，短期内实物金需求恐怕难有增加，尽管上周金价暴跌超过3.5%，但全球最大黄金消费国——中国的需求并未出现回暖迹象。有分析指出，去年一战成名的“中国大妈”已经买了足够多的黄金。例如，5月上海黄金交易所的黄金溢价持续企稳在2美元附近，需求依然乏力。
【技术分析】
由近期伦敦金走势上看，伦敦黄金价格在经历了下降三角形区间后，正式选择了向下突破，而且近期黄金走势跌幅较大，尚未看到有明确的止跌迹象。而布林线喇叭口不断发散，而现货黄金仍然维持在布林线下轨之下，说明短期内黄金仍然有下跌空间。而近期黄金屡创低位，在黄金的下行方向当中缺乏明确的技术支撑线，因此黄金只能不断向下寻求前期低点的支撑。对于炒金的投资者来说，近期应该以做空为主
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1238 止盈1245 止损1232
做空：开仓1250 止盈1242 止损1263
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.