美国数据优异 现货黄金难逃下跌
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
国际现货黄金周一晚间继续在数周低点徘徊,由于刚公布的欧元区PMI低于市场预期,而且位于半年以来的低位,因此市场普遍认为欧元区将会进一步实施宽松政策,导致美元出现了大幅上涨,而导致以美元计价的大宗商品和贵金属均出现普遍下跌,当然黄金也未能例外。
【基本面分析】
昨晚纽约时段,美国供应管理协会(ISM)最初公布的5月制造业PMI数据为53.2,前值54.9,预期55.5。但紧接着几分钟后就将数据上修至56,反而优于预期,导致金价短线上探1250后回落,但最终金价仍然出现较大幅度的下跌,再度失守1250关口,退守1240支撑点。
而最为特别的是,最晚的美国PMI数据出现了多次更改,而经过了最终第三次的修正,ISM最终确认数据读为55.4,略微低于预期的55.5,市场这才回归平静。当然,无论是外汇市场还是贵金属市场出现大幅波动也是难免的。而ISM制造业调查经理表示,在上个月数据的季调性因素因子中出现了一个软件错误,将错误的季节性调整因素用在5月份数据上。该组织最初报告数据是从4月份的54.9降至53.2,之后更正为56,因此出现了多次修正。
【技术分析】
由于国际现货黄金上周已经出现了连续多日下跌,多个技术性支撑位已经宣告失守,黄金自跌破1300整数关口以来,由近期走势上看,已经打开了新的下跌通道,预计日内将会考验1230位置的支撑力度,由于本周是超级周,多个重磅数据将会指引金价的近期方向。由于美国近期数据表现良好,预计美国本周的数据将会继续造好,因此不排除黄金短期内考验1200美元整数关口。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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