现货黄金空头情绪得以释放 关注欧洲数据指引
关键字：本日现货黄金走势
【基本面分析】
昨夜纽盘时段美国公布的一系列经济数据均向好，黄金备受打压，日内跌幅高于200点，而与黄金作为对冲投资、具有避险功能的美元却表现相对平静，未见美元走势大幅走涨，根据最新的汇市、股市和美国债市的波动情况来看，投资者似乎预计美联储的利率上调政策并没有像官方推测的节奏一样提早落实。根据官员们的预测，基准利率可能会在2015年年底前达到1%的水平。投资者认为，美联储在量化宽松政策结束后的姿态将更趋谨慎。投资者会认为到明年年底时，基准利率将会从当前的近零水平上升50个基点，这能解释美元为何至今仍然上涨乏力。
随着美联储逐渐撤出量化宽松政策，美国资产收益率应该比现在涨得更高，实际上，如果经济增速和通胀不能在量化宽松政策结束时上升，那么美联储可能重新对国债和抵押支持证券进行投资，从而确保经济复苏得以延续。隔夜美元兑G3货币仅微幅上扬，异常强势的耐用品订单数据，房价的上涨，服务业活动性以及消费者信心的改善都没有帮助美元走出波澜壮阔的涨势，而黄金出现大幅下行估计因为经历前段时间金价回调后空头的看盘情绪得到释放，随美国经济数据公布向好后大举进场做单，触发大量黄金买方止损盘。
本日市场公布的经济数据较少，投资者需关注德国的就业数据，同时还要关注欧元区经济景气指数数据。近来，欧元兑美元受累于欧洲央行宽松预期，以及靓丽的美国数据。作为欧元区第一大经济体德国的就业数据，也让市场格外关注。如果数据不及预期，欧元汇率可能会再遭打压，另外日内欧元区4月M3货币供应额也密切留意，将反映欧元区的货币流通水平。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看，国际金价已突破三角形整理区域，保持下行趋势，未来将尝试下破1180-1200的前期重要支撑位，由昨日开出的光头光脚大阴线可得知空方力量异常强劲，建议本日逢高做空思路，空单仓位可继续持有，上方关注1268-1270前段盘整时期的支撑位，若上穿破败则可在此位置做空，下方重点关注1250。
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.