现货黄金暴跌 引来机构抄底
关键字：现货黄金行情
【行情回顾】
经历过昨日晚间出现的暴跌之后，今日欧洲盘前伦敦金行情出现了低位持稳的迹象，由于1250-1260一线是前期较强的支撑位置，因此短期内黄金在此位置的跌势将会有所减缓，加上经历过昨天的大跌之后，空头的力量基本宣泄完毕，短期内预计黄金会在1250位置震荡盘整。
【基本面分析】
因周二公布的美国一系列经济数据均优于预期，引发了黄金市场大量的技术性卖盘，国际金价最终大跌逾2%至三个多月低位。上周末乌克兰总统选举消除了市场对于东欧局势的部分担心，由于美国和欧洲均表态支持乌克兰新任总统，市场避险需求有所下降，导致黄金价格再度承压下跌。
而根据最新的黄金ETF持仓数据显示，截止昨天为止，ETF黄金持仓量不但没有下降，反而出现了大幅度上升。而且，从5月SPDR黄金ETF持仓上看，自月初开始总持仓量就持续下滑，至上周降至776.89公吨。
而昨日黄金ETF一口气尽收本月所有的外流规模，并且是在金价大跌的情况下发生，而且在短短一天的时间内，黄金ETF日内持仓量暴增超过8吨，至785.28公吨，重回5月初水平。而周二晚间黄金走势出现了大幅下跌，大量的技术性卖盘和止损性卖盘被触发，而昨天黄金ETF持仓却出现了大幅上升，不禁让人觉得机构投资者有抄底的嫌疑。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，现货黄金日内继续在1265一线位置徘徊，尚未出现明显的反弹迹象，而昨日的暴跌所出现的大阴线，导致处于横向震荡的均线系统遭到破坏，短期均线和长期均线都呈现空头排列。而布林线则在收口后出现喇叭口发散迹象，预示着黄金在短期内尚有下跌迹象，而技术指标方面，MACD正式出现死叉，绿柱量能有所放大，但仍远未进入超卖区间，短期内黄金难有反弹，我们大田金业建议投资者主要以做空为主。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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