市场频频减持 现货黄金低位稳守
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周二亚市早盘,国际现货黄金行情依旧维持窄幅震荡态势,虽然乌克兰总统大选基本尘埃落定,乌克兰当地局势也日益明朗,但是根据最新消息,武装分子再度袭击乌克兰机场,导致市场避险情绪再度升温,可见短期内乌克兰事件难以解决,市场对黄金仍有需求。
【基本面分析】
由于近期美国经济数据持续好转,机构投资者纷纷看空黄金后市,而在国际市场上也频频出现天量减持大单,意图砸倒黄金。但是近期金价走势却依然坚挺,在利空利多面前黄金走势依旧我行我素,相当之耐人寻味。据最新统计数据显示,全球最大黄金ETF SPDR的黄金持仓量跌至780.19吨,单天减持超过1.79吨。这意味着在过去两个月内,SPDR投资者已经抛售了价值22亿美元黄金。
虽然机构投资者近期持续看空黄金并非毫无道理,诸如欧美的货币政策均利空贵金属,欧元区的抗击通胀必然会采取诸如降息或者宽松的措施,这无疑将打压欧元利多美元,导致以美元计价的贵金属和大宗商品均会承受较大压力。但是今日亚洲时段黄金并未受此影响依然总体维持震荡,这让近日持续看空黄金的人们大为失望,即便遭遇5.2亿美元空单下砸也无法使黄金出现大幅下跌。因此,我们可以这样认为,黄金虽然有足够多的看空理由,但同样也具备看多的方面,例如地缘政治因素,印度放宽黄金进口,多家央行持续增持黄金等,也足以让黄金具备中长期走牛的条件。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看,黄金依然运行在收窄三角形当中,黄金在近几个交易日屡次触碰收窄三角形边缘,由于近期黄金走势基本以横向整理为主,导致短期均线系统持续走平,缺乏方向指引性,而且MACD也出现持续钝化迹象,预计短期内市场仍以观望为主,静待黄金走出突破性走势。
【操作建议】
做多:开仓1290 止盈1295 止损1284
做空:开仓1296 止盈1290 止损1303
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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