市场静待联储决议 现货黄金低位盘整
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周二晚间,黄金现货市场走势继续出现宽幅震荡,在略为下行之后黄金出现迅速回升,最终现货黄金再度收出十字星,由于黄金近日来走势平稳,预计市场仍静待周三晚间的美联储会议纪要,希望能在纪要当中寻找到美联储的加息时机和政策方向。
【基本面分析】
虽然昨日美联储有多位官员发表了讲话,但是内容分歧相当之大,所以并未能为市场带来方向指引。联储官员杜德利表示,尽管增长阻力有所减弱,但经济增长的轨迹仍非常令人失望,美国并没有经历通常的周期性反弹。同时,他表示,在结束量化宽松(QE)和首次升息之间会有一段相当长的时间,而且一旦开始升息,政策收紧步伐也会是相对缓慢的。可以说,杜德利的言论是较为明显的鸽派言论。
而另一位联储官员普罗索则认为美国经济不断增强可能迫使联储“提前而不是推迟”升息,这样可以使美联储在通胀大幅攀升前收紧政策。同是他也重申了他的强硬的立场,称随着经济增长和就业市场持续改善,美联储政策如果保持目前的宽松程度其政策可能落后于经济的改善速度。因此,市场对于联储官员的言论感到不适应,而寄望能在今天晚间的联储会议纪要当中的到更多的关于加息时间的信息。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看,国际现货黄金已经多日收出了十字星,说明市场的交投情绪不强,观望气氛相当浓厚。同时现货黄金仍处于三角形整理区间的末端,尚未作出方向性选择。均线系统在处于持续走平的状态,预计短期的压力位置在1295-1300一线位置,该位置除了是均线压力线之外,也是三角形整理区间的上轨压力所在,投资者需要重点留意
【操作建议】
做多:开仓1285 止盈1298 止损1278
做空:开仓1295 止盈1288 止损1305
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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