内战事件频发 现货黄金得益于避险需求
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，国际现货黄金维持震荡上涨走势。由于继乌克兰事件之后，利比亚也出现内战迹象，由此引发了市场出现了部分避险需求。黄金在连续下跌之后，也具备了一定反弹需求，因此黄金在欧洲盘前主要以震荡上扬为主，但是突破1300关口的可能性不大。
【基本面分析】
据外媒最新报道，利比亚退役将军哈利法•哈夫塔尔领导的部队16日在东部城市班加西针对多支民兵武装发起袭击，双方发生激烈交火。利比亚有关部门称，这场武装冲突目前已造成至少79人死亡、141人受伤。
报道称，哈夫塔尔的部队16日出动直升机和地面武装，对“安萨尔旅”“2月17日烈士旅”和“利比亚之盾第一旅”等多支民兵武装位于班加西的多处基地展开攻击，随即引发激烈交战。哈夫塔尔的发言人穆罕默德·赫加齐表示，哈夫塔尔的部队旨在“将恐怖分子赶出班加西”。由于近期地缘政治问题和国家内战等暴力事件持续发生，因此国际市场上仍然存在着部分避险需求，因此短期内黄金出现大跌的可能性基本不大
而另一方面，但乌内战的迹象日渐突出，本周显然将是乌克兰局势的关键一周，由于亲西政党在此次大选获胜基本没有任何悬念，因此亲俄武装在俄罗斯的背后支持下，显然不会对此轻易妥协。因此乌克兰问题短期内仍难以解决。
【技术分析】
现货黄金仍然处于1300关口下方震荡寻求位置突破，而上方均线压力依然强大，短期内黄金周线上仍然维持在BOLL中轨之上，1283为短期重要支撑位置，一旦跌破次区域将打开更大的下行空间。日线级别仍然维持整理三角形态势，而下轨支撑也在1282.5，短期内行情面临三角区域突破，我们大田贵金属预计在本周将会出现方向上的选择。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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