机构持续减仓 现货黄金低位承压
关键字:现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周二亚洲时段,国际现货黄金维持低位震荡态势,贵金属交易清淡,由于乌克兰方面局势持续恶化,昨晚国际现货黄金价格试图上攻1300关口,但是最终仍然未能成功。由现在市场的热点上看,由于今晚美国方面有较为重要的零售销售数据发布,市场将会暂时把焦点集中到美国方面。
【基本面分析】
虽然昨日国际现货黄金受到乌克兰东部两州独立,这一事件提振而走强。但是由近期黄金的走势上看,黄金持续震荡,显示黄金近期仍然较为弱势,因此在本月中黄金ETF基金基本都是减持和观望为主,这也不难理解为何昨天黄金在利好刺激之下仍然未能突破1300关口。
巴克莱(Barclays)报告称,进入5月以来,全球黄金ETF的持有量已经减少了差不多5吨。黄金ETF的持有量被认为是衡量市场情绪的标准,在金价处牛市中,黄金ETF的持有量会有显著增加。而去年其持有量则大幅减少被认为是金价暴跌背后的一大因素。巴克莱指出,尽管今年2月和3月黄金ETF的持有量有增加,但基本都被4月的流出抹去了。
从最大的黄金ETF,SPDR黄金基金来看,进入5月其持有量已经减少了7.48吨,自4月初则减少了30.52吨,甚至自4月1日至今,仅有两个交易日有流入。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看,黄金在昨日晚间攻击1300关口失败之后再度回落,说明短期内1300关口将成为多空双方持续博弈的战场,而且由均线上看,黄金在昨日顺利修复MA5,MA10和MA20三条短期均线,但是仍然未能稳守,市场观望气氛浓厚,预计今日在美国销售数据公布之前,国际现货黄金价格将会维持震荡。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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