现货黄金弱势震荡 空方或伺机出击
关键字：本日国际现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚市时段，国际现货黄金价格继续于1290一线胶着，市场投资趋于谨慎，投资者在场外等候进一步行情指引，昨日公布的5月第一周美国初请失业金人数开好使金价承压，中国CPI数据偏弱也削减了实物投资者的购金热情。
【基本面分析】
虽然俄罗斯普京作出了推迟乌克兰东部城市公投的呼吁，同时宣布撤走设置在俄乌边境的俄军。但乌克兰内部分裂却愈加严重。自称顿涅茨克人民共和国的一领导人称，亲俄的分裂分子一致投票同意如期在5月11日于乌克兰东部就独立议题举行全民公投。在公投之前，乌克兰已经派遣15000人的军队前往俄乌边境。另外北大西洋公约组织秘书长周四称，仍没有看到俄罗斯军队从乌克兰边境撤离的迹象。他的讲话，增加了市场紧张气氛。昨天五角大楼宣布在波罗的海举行三场军事演习以应对乌克兰危机。乌克兰局势再度变得紧张为黄金提供支持，不过德拉吉讲话使欧元冲高回落，美元得以提振，限制了黄金反弹。
国际金价周四震荡，投资者在权衡乌克兰持续不断的紧张局势和开始再度加快步伐的美国经济复苏，而美国经济的持续向好可能会削弱市场对避险资产黄金的需求，周四美国劳工部公布的5月第一周初请失业金显示，美国5月3日当周初请失业金人数减少2.6万人至31.9万人，预期为32.5万，市场预期就业数据利好将加快联储减码和提前升息。
本日亚市早盘公布的中国4月CPI涨幅低於预期，创18个月新低；PPI跌幅高於预期，连续26个月负增长。CPI低位运行，反映当前经济总需求仍然偏弱，中国的消费力疲软，导致实物黄金需求放缓，从而打压国际金价。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价自1277有效支撑力获得反弹后，上试初级和次级阻力位1315和1330破败转而下行，目前回落5日均线下方，且处于下降三角形下破力度的最强阶段，视乎本日空头能否有效击破下方1277的关键支撑并打开下行空间。
【本日操作建议】
空单：开仓位1297，止损1302，目标1285。
多单：开仓位1283，止损1279，目标1290。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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