现货黄金窄幅回调 关注夜间行情
关键字:本日亚盘国际现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚市早盘,国际现货黄金上涨至1313位置附近,随后小幅吐涨,午盘时段继续坚守在关键位置1300美元上方,现时在1310位置盘整,因市场获利回吐盘的出现和技术回调沽空,多空双方目前呈现胶着状态,等候消息面上更多的行情指引。
【基本面分析】
欧元区4月份Markit采购经理指数(PMI)上升至54,高于3月份的53.1。指数高于50显示该界别的经济正在增长。西班牙及意大利的PMI指数同样表现不俗,而最新的欧盟零售销售数据上升0.3%,美元兑欧元大跌,从而利多黄金。
欧盟数据再次显示企业销售价格连续25个月录得下跌。市场将会密切留意周四举行的欧洲央行本月货币政策会议。欧洲央行因通缩的隐忧而感到有压力,或会进一步推出经济刺激措施。周二经济合作与发展组织(OECD)表示欧洲央行应该降低主要利率,以抵御通缩的压力。欧洲央行激低利率则有利于黄金市场。
在乌克兰紧张局势面前,各方仍然选择克制。俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫呼吁展开对话,并要求乌克兰所有地区参与谈判。在周二於维也纳举行的新闻发布会上,拉夫罗夫要求乌克兰避免动用军队镇压暴力抗议活动,乌克兰前景仍不明朗,但目前还没有出现进一步恶化的信号,投资者的紧张情绪得以缓和。
本日夜间耶伦在联合经济委员会就经济前景做证词,市场将关注耶伦是否在强劲非农就业数据之后,透露更多具体加息时间的线索,消息势必再度引发金市波澜,由于黄金仍对美国经济前景以及政策前景敏感,因此耶伦讲话有帮助金价打破目前僵局,投资者可关注夜间耶伦讲话带来的指引。耶伦还将于本周四在参议院预算委员会做证词。
【技术分析】
日线图上,国际金价上方受60日均线1317的压制,视乎能否上穿并打开上行空间至站上1330,若上穿失败则关注下方支撑1292-1304位置,日内现货黄金行情未明朗情况下建议持有观望,或可轻仓做空思路,开仓位置1317-1319,止损1321,目标1302。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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