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黄金现货略有下挫 微跌仅是技术性回调

关键字:现货黄金走势

【行情回顾】

由于乌克兰地缘局势持续紧张,国际市场的避险情绪也不断升温。贵金属市场多头受到鼓舞,昨日黄金现货价格在买盘支撑下,再度发起强攻,但是最终在部分投机者获利打压下震荡走低,多头这次主动回撤整理属于技术性整理,预计黄金将等待调整后再度拉升。

【基本面分析】

根据最新数据显示,2014年一季度全国累计生产黄金96.499吨,同比增长7.33%;全国黄金消费量322.99吨,同比增长0.76%,截至今年2月,黄金在乌克兰国家储备中占比8%,近年乌国黄金储备更是飞速增加至42.3吨。说明短期内黄金实物买盘依然相当旺盛。

同时根据业内消息,美国Hecla矿业公司总裁兼首席执行官Phil Baker最近在接受采访时表示,中国印度中产阶层逐渐增加,这将驱动黄金需求增长,金价有望走高。Baker认为“历史数据显示,一个国家中产阶级增加,其贵金属需求也将增加。西方国家黄金需求已大幅下降,近乎饱和。未来黄金需求将转移到东方国家,亚洲市场更利好黄金。”

安永国际会计公司(Ernst & Young)最近报告同样证实中国印度中产阶级的增加,佐证了Baker的观点。安永报告称,“现金中国大约有1.5亿人每天挣10-100美元。随着中国经济的发展与改革,未来10年预计5亿人次跻身全球中产阶层行列。”

【技术分析】

目前现货黄金报于1308,昨日亚太时段黄金价格在强势整理后再次发动攻势,不过前期高点1315附近的压力依旧较为明显,市场在触及这一位置后出现部分投机者获利了结,随后在欧盘时段黄金出现主动回撤,最低触及1304,此次金价的主动回撤整固,说明多头在进一步上攻前期,仍需要更长时间的蓄势整固

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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