市场观望气氛浓厚 现货黄金窄幅震荡
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，现货黄金行情交投清淡，并于1300下方震荡走低，。和早盘黄金价格基本持平，因市场对美联储(Fed)将继续削减量化宽松(QE)政策的担心程度暂时盖过了俄罗斯和欧洲紧张局势加剧对金价的推动作用。周三欧盘后，预计现货黄金继续受到美联储将削减QE预期的打压。
【基本面分析】
进入第二季度后，金价回落，而黄金ETF又出现了大量流出。SPDR黄金基金已经回吐出今年以来持有量的增加，这被认为是黄金市场悲观情绪再度主导的信号。截止上周为止，SPDR持仓量连续四周出现减少，这是去年12月以来的第一次。很大原因在于，目前持有黄金比持有其它贵金属都要更昂贵。此外，今年年初以来SPDR黄金基金逆转去年的走势有所回升后，一些短期投资者获利了结行为也是其回落的原因之一。总而言之，近期SPDR黄金基金持续出手减持说明其在短期内并不看好黄金走势。
但是从最新的SPDR持仓数据来看，已经连续六天的持仓未出现减持，由于本周是超级周，周三、周四、周五将有美国第一季度GDP，美国4月ADP、美联储利率决议、美国4月非农数据等众多重磅消息及数据公布，从SPDR的持仓数据来看，市场正以不变应万变的策略来对待超级周。继续关注SPDR数据，虽数据有一天的延迟但由于持仓的连贯性较佳，所以对黄金价格具有一定的预示和指引作用。
【技术分析】
根据我们对伦敦金技术分析显示，金价昨日收于带十字星K线，显示行情短线震荡特征。日均线方面，金价今日盘中下跌破5日均线，当前短期均线系统较为紊乱，缺乏明显方向，价格上方仍承压于30日均线阻力， RSI指标仍承压于中位水平，MACD指标持续于0轴附近徘徊，说明市场观望气氛仍然相当浓厚，预计美国的经济数据和美联储的讲话将会指引金价走势。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1285 止盈1296 止损1277
做空：开仓1298 止盈1290 止损1305
推荐阅读
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.