现货黄金短期受均线压制 关注夜间重磅数据
关键字：本日亚盘国际现货黄金价格走势
【行情回顾】
本日亚市早盘，国际现货黄金价格继续在1300下方盘整，波动范围为1292-1296美元，本日市场等待一系列重磅数据公布，包括美国ADP就业人数据，美国第一季度GDP和凌晨公布的美联储利率决议，若数据陆续造好，金价将面临很大的下行压力。
【基本面分析】
据彭博社最新公布的数据显示，多数经济学家预计美联储将在4月FOMC利率决议上宣布继续缩减100亿美元QE，至450亿美元。
美国将公布一系列重磅数据。其中第一季度GDP因天气因素，可能注定回落，但若能高于1.2%的预期，对美元将形成支撑，对黄金不利。此外，ADP就业报告将为投资者提供提前窥探周五（5月2日）非农的机会；而个人消费指出物价，则是美联储衡量通胀的重要指标。若美国GDP数据基本符合或略好于预期，将会为美元提供支撑，不利于金价。而美联储继续削减QE规模，且在新闻发布会中提到经济复苏，国际金价将受打压。
周三(4月30日)监测的黄金ETFs数据显示，截止周二(4月29日)黄金ETF-SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量约为792.14吨或25,468,060.09盎司，较上一交易日持平。
隔夜弱於预期的德国通胀数据使得欧元汇率大跌，若日内欧元区CPI不及预期，市场担忧欧央行很可能在接下来推出进一步宽松举措，分析人士认为，因欧洲通胀数据低迷，市场对欧洲央行出台量化宽松政策的预期升温，令黄金近期与欧元的正相关减弱。
【技术分析】
日线图上，国际金价于4月29日开出阳线十字星，显示上方月度移动均线1301.88的有效压制使多头难以突破，市场交投趋于谨慎，金价本日开阴后在10均线1293.20附近徘徊，小时图上金价受多重均线打压下行，KDJ形态为超卖，本夜消息面对金价走势将造成大行情波动，建议现阶段投资者持有观望。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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