利好因素消失 现货黄金再度下跌
关键字：现货黄金走势
【走势回顾】
周四纽约盘中，伦敦金行情持续震荡走低，日内最低跌至1293美元/盎司。乌克兰问题的四方会谈在日内瓦谈判上达成初步协议，缓解了市场的避险情绪，打压金价；美国经济数据表象靓丽亦打压金价；黄金基金持仓大幅走低，打压金价；印度国内黄金需求降低，亦对金价构成打压。可见短期内黄金压力重重，在有利因素不断消失的情况下，黄金很可能重归跌势。
【基本面】
盘中，美国公布的经济数据整体较好，美国数据提振了美元指数，亦令金价承压。数据显示，美国费城联储制造业指数远高于预期，而美国4月5日当周初请失业金人数较预期再次走低。具体数据，美国4月费城联储制造业指数16.6，预期10.0，前值9.0。美国4月12日当周首次申请失业金人数30.4万人，预期31.5万人。
印度国内对黄金需求降低，也在一定程度上对金价构成压力。印度政府通过一系列措施限制国内黄金需求。印度政府周三(4月16日)宣布上调黄金和白银进口关税价格依据，分别调至431美元/10克(1222美元/盎司)和646美元/公斤(18.3美元/盎司)。此前的价格依据分别为421美元/10克和644美元/公斤。印度去年为限制经常账户赤字(CAD)而对黄金进口采取了一系列限制措施，包括将进口关税上调到10%。而此次上调的进口关税价格依据则是为防止黄金进口中价格被刻意压低以逃避关税的行为，该价格会随着国际金价的走势而被调整。
【技术分析】
从日K线图上看，经过周二的大跌后近两日金价基本在1300美元与200日均线附近盘整，但除非金价能突破短期下行趋势阻力位置1320美元，不然短期风险仍偏下行。预计近期若能上行，如突破隔夜高位1307一线，则看向1320趋势阻力，继续上破有望触及1331.40关键阻力。若金价继续下行，如日内收在1300整数关口和200日均线下方，则看向1277.40关键支撑，不排除会触及1250一线。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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