4.18国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
关键字：4.18国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
【行情回顾】
周四纽约时段盘初伦敦金走势继续疲软，盘中跌破1300整数关口，并刷新1292.74美元/盎司的日内新低，因周四日内瓦四方会谈同意发布实施初步措施的联合声明以缓和乌克兰局势，令避险情绪降温。同时日内公布的美国经济数据整体向好，暗示美国经济正稳步复苏。以上因素均利空黄金，导致黄金承压下跌。
【基本面分析】
美国、俄罗斯、乌克兰和欧盟周四在日内瓦启动乌克兰问题四方会谈，寻求通过政治对话解决乌克兰危机。 美国国务卿克里、欧盟外交和安全政策高级代表阿什顿、俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫和乌克兰代理外长杰希察参加会谈。会后俄罗斯外交部长拉夫罗夫周四发表讲话称，日内瓦四方会谈同意发布实施初步措施的联合声明以缓和乌克兰局势。
同时普京周四表示，乌克兰东部的动乱局势只能通过对话来解决，尽管他不希望出兵乌克兰，但不排除出兵的可能性；美国总统奥巴马也发表讲话称，他相信外交政策能化解乌克兰危机。另外，美欧俄乌四方就乌克兰局势问题在瑞士日内瓦举行了会谈，并取得了一定的成就，地缘政治危机有所化解。
【技术分析】
从日K线图上看，经过周二的大跌后近两日金价基本在1300美元与200日均线附近盘整，但除非金价能突破短期下行趋势阻力位置1320美元，不然短期风险仍偏下行。预计近期若能上行，如突破隔夜高位1307一线，则看向1320趋势阻力，继续上破有望触及1331.40关键阻力。若金价继续下行，如日内收在1300整数关口和200日均线下方，则看向1277.40关键支撑，不排除下周会触及1250一线。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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