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现货黄金亚盘冲高后进入回调 走势仍偏弱

关键字:本日亚盘国际现货黄金价格

【行情回顾】

本日亚市尾盘时段,国际现货黄金价格自亚市早盘时段短时间内跳涨10美元,从1318附近上升到1328-1330位置。欧市开盘前更录得日内最高值1329.68美元,金价的上涨行情为乌俄两国形成的地缘政治危机和军事冲突的发酵,致使黄金市场的空头回补和新多头加入。

【基本面分析】

据美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周五(4月11日)发布的报告显示,投机者持有的黄金净多头减少11546手,为净多头88599手,显示投机者对现货黄金投资看多的意愿有所减弱。尽管本月金价有所反弹,但其整体走势仍然偏弱,后市金价仍有继续走弱可能。

本日投资者可关注美国3月零售销售月率,前值+0.3%,预测值+0.9%,其中汽车及货车年销量料将大1630万辆,为7年最高水平,除去汽车项目後,整体仍有望录得0.5%的8个月以来最大增长,这将意味著美国消费需求在更广泛的程度上反弹,投资者需要继续关注拉动美国经济三驾马车之首的消费情况,市场对此数据预期比较理想,如果数据向好,将会对金价反弹构成压制。

【技术分析】

国际金价自上周起一直呈4月初的反弹格局,受益于基本面金价成功站上1300和1320关键阻力位,小时图上金价在向上突破5日和10日均线后形成窄幅整理,MACD红色动能柱正在减弱,后市或由快线下穿慢线形成死叉,5日RSI指标向下,数值为51.08。

本日建议投资者切勿盲目追多,可尝试轻仓空单操作,目标1320,止损1330。

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