4.9国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
关键字：4.9国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014）
【行情回顾】
国际现货黄金价格4月8日上涨达1%，因美元空头发力和受到乌俄两国地缘政治冲突和美俄关系紧张影响，金价走势于欧盘开市始至纽盘开市前一直呈上升格局，最高点录得1314.22美元，本月以来国际金价均稳步上升，现已收复200日均线。
【基本面分析】
美元兑一篮子货币均大幅走弱，道琼斯FXCM美元指数创2013年10月17日以来最大跌幅，美元下滑使得以美元计价的黄金比持有其它货币更有吸引力，在消息面较为平淡的本周，净空美元的市场情绪将很有可能得以延续。事实上，美联储、日央行以及英央行等关键决策者在货币政策前瞻上表现出了较高的稳定性以及预见性，对于美元、日元、英镑等货币及一些相关市场，货币政策所带来的市场影响正在减少。以美股市场来说，当美联储货币政策在较小的时间框架内不确定性较高时，好于预期的美国数据往往通过令市场产生偏紧的货币政策预期而打压美股，但近期越来越多地看到的则是好于预期的美国数据对股市的提振。至于黄金市场，自3月17日以来的回调就带有浓厚的技术回调色彩。
美国国务卿克里4月9日指责俄罗斯特工和特种部队挑起了乌克兰东部分离主义者的骚动，称俄政府可能正准备重演在克里米亚采取过的军事行动，紧张局势升级提升了黄金的避险魅力。
本日风险事件为美联储会议纪要，国际金价可能受美联储会议纪要影响下作出高位回调。
【技术分析】
国际金价于4月8日开出含上影线的阳烛，目前金价已站稳1300上方，亚市早盘延续昨夜纽盘的上升势头，虽多头出现获利回吐使金价于纽盘开市时段呈牛皮状态，5日RSI线65.39继续向上，MACD显示空头动能正在减少，本日做多思路建议轻仓做多为主，止损1310，目标1322。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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