黄金ETF四周来首次流出 现货黄金走势逆转
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
黄金ETF四周来首次流出
自今年以来，至今金价上涨约10%，但从近期来看，其上涨动量似乎开始消散。黄金ETF的持有量在上周也出现了四周来首次减少。数据显示，3月21日当周黄金ETF持有量减少了0.2吨，总持有量变为1766.2吨。此前一周黄金ETF持有量则增加了12.3吨，是2012年11月以来的最高增量，总持有量则是2013年12月27日以来最高水平。
乌克兰局势降温
由于乌克兰局势开始稳定，令此前金价避险升幅大幅回吐。乌克兰临时总统要求乌军队撤出克里米亚。俄罗斯总统普京业已签署克里米亚共和国加入俄联邦的总统法令，宣布完成了所有入俄法律程序，成立克里米亚联邦区。俄罗斯部队占领乌克兰在克里米亚的军事基地。由于避险需求缺失，最新金价走势开始出现逆转。
【技术分析】
由日线图上，布林带收口金价运行于5MA和250MA之间区域，RSI超卖区域略显勾头，MACD快线向上逐渐穿过慢线形成金叉，空头力竭头，K线再次试探下方MA270支撑位。上周尾金价自1320触底反弹，再次回归1342，反弹近22美金，但随即回吐也快，收盘于1333，本周初金价则小幅低开1330，目前显然进入震荡环节，因此个人认为金价还是主要为回落趋势，4小时图形上，布林通道持续向下运行，K线已经开始偏离布林下轨，颓势不堪。附图指标MACD零轴下方金叉之后再度形成死叉，空头势能明显加大，KDJ、RSI开始走平于低位，短期支撑于1308,上方重点关注MA10以及布林带中轨阻力分别位于1323和1326这里，短线阻力可参考MA5日均线1314位置，激进者可待反弹至此处顺势跟进空单。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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