美国经济复苏势头强劲 预估现货黄金价格将企稳上涨
关键字：美国经济、现货黄金价格
【基本面】
周四公布的利好经济数据显示美国经济复苏势头强劲，寒冷天气对美国经济的不利影响只是暂时。日内公布的美国上周初请失业金人数为32万，与市场预期持平。美国3月费城联储制造业指数9.0，高于市场预期4,；另外美国2月咨商会领先指标上涨0.5%，市场预期上涨0.2%。经济数据表现亮丽提升了市场信心，前期低迷的经济数据使市场担心寒冷天气或将导致美国经济增速放缓，但是近期的经济数据显示天气的影响只是暂时的，美国经济前景乐观，股市有望在乐观经济前景的推动下继续上涨。
昨天美联储主席耶伦称明年春季或将加息，股市随即大幅下跌。今天股市修复了昨天的过激反应，耶伦的鹰派态度在某种程度上反应了美联储对于美国经济的乐观态度，美联储逐渐退出宽松货币政策甚至加息对于股市的负面影响或许有限。美国与俄罗斯的角力继续，美国公布对俄罗斯的第二轮制裁清单。俄罗斯也宣布对于美国官员实施制裁。
【技术分析】
昨日黄金收探底小阴线，美联储的新举措导致黄金应声下跌，今日金价将企稳上涨，从日线上看黄金本周已经连续下跌了72美金，我们从1182上涨至1392位置的回调位0.382的话那价格是1312，但是整个趋势我们从长周期上看还是属于上涨趋势，而且是比较强势的上涨趋势，所有这样的趋势当中回调都不会充分，所以分析师的建议是行情此次回调会在1312这个价格选择作为底部，然后继续上涨冲破1400，建议这个位置进多，昨日晚间行情虚破1小时布林下轨后开始反弹上行，最高上行至1332，随后行情受到30均线压制开始下行，由于长线趋势看多，所以我们选择逢低做多，前期多单持有，等待黄金盘整后继续上涨。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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