现货黄金延续弱势下行 但切勿盲目做空
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)于3月19日公布利率决议，宣布维持 0-0.25%基准利率不变，并再次将月度QE缩减100亿美元。美联储在考虑加息这一问题上放弃了6.5%失业率门坎，宣布当决定如何保持美联储 0-0.25%低利率时，会评估2%通胀率和诸多就业指标。
美联储主席耶伦3月19日表示，如果美联储按照当前速度继续缩减量化宽松(QE)政策，那债券购买计划就会在2014年秋季结束。耶伦对于退出QE政策之 后“相当长一段时期”内维持宽松立场首次进行界定，称大概为六个月左右。这就意味着，美联储可能会在2015年春季首次加息。
【技术分析】
昨日黄金现货继续延续了周初的弱势调整走势，同时在美联储利率决议的利空影响下，金价可谓是一泻千里，最终日线再度收取饱和的实体大阴，整个技术面来看金价在高位横盘蓄力至冲高之后仅仅经过三个交易日就悉数回吐涨幅，一方面回撤的幅度较大，另一方面，技术面上也是久违的出现了持续性，当在强势行情中如果具备了有力度且持续性的回撤之后，行情也极易出现阶段性顶部，虽然多头回撤，但是没有改变反弹偏强格局，但是日线三连阴之后，形态上也是出现了三只乌鸦的形态，大田金业分析师认为，虽然这种形态之下，后期后倾会迎来小幅的反弹修正，但是形态上已经构成了明显的利空走势，因此操作上需要把之前的极强走势转换成回落之后的宽幅震荡，目前昨日日线饱和大阴之后，伦敦金行情跌破日boll中轨，同时短周期均线也开始勾头下行，日内若先行反弹那么可以进行适当空单参与，上方关注压力1338~1345，下方支撑1317~1308.
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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