国际现货黄金回落 关注乌俄局势发展
关键字：国际现货黄金
【基本面】
上周末举行的克里米亚公投显示超过95%的克里米亚公民支持脱离乌克兰。而周一欧洲时段克里米亚议会已正式申请加入俄罗斯。不过该公投结果遭到了西方以及日本的抗议，称该决议违法。西方领导人预计将进一步商议对俄罗斯实施制裁，欧盟外长周一也将会晤，谈论对俄罗斯可能的制裁措施，这或包括禁发签证和冻结资产。但不管怎样，该公投没有令乌克兰与俄罗斯的紧张局势进一步恶化，风险情绪有所改善，风险资产也出现反弹。
后市将继续关注局势的发展。美国早盘公布的美国3月纽约联储制造业指数从4。48升至5。61，不及预期的7，不过数据影响有限。本周最为重要的是周四公布的美联储利率决议。
【技术分析】
现货黄金昨日晚间在大幅回落，日线收取一根大阴，早间开盘之后价格继续回落，从日线上看，早间开盘之后价格受5ma压制下行，下方在10ma处有短暂支撑，附图macd高位死叉再次形成，但是在过去的将近半个月的时间死叉始终无法放量，若是能借助这波跌势下破10ma以及boll中轨的支撑那么必定带动死叉放量，那么近期的局势就将发生逆转。目前从4小时上看，均线5ma向下延伸压制金价走势反弹，价格在突破boll下轨之后可能进一步试探60ma的支撑位，附图macd高位死叉继续放量，黄金投资分析师认为，早间操作上还是回调空单为主，若破位则顺势跟进。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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