风险局势缓和 现货黄金走势总体呈弱
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
上周末克里米亚公投结束，超过90%的克里米亚人选择脱离乌克兰加入俄罗斯，近期动荡不安的克里米亚局势几乎已成定局。俄罗斯也随即宣布承认克里米亚为独立的国家，尽管美国与欧盟宣布对俄罗斯实施制裁，但是目前制裁措施有限。由于克里米亚对于俄罗斯具有重要的战略地位，欧盟与美国对于俄罗斯的制裁微不足道。克里米亚紧张局势的缓和提振了市场风险偏好，昨日欧洲与美国股市普遍大幅上涨，股市有望回归正常的风险偏好状态。
昨日公布的美国2月工业生产月率上涨0.6%，涨幅超出市场预期0.2%，经济数据好转也提振了市场信心。美国3月纽约联储制造业指数5.61，低于市场预期7.0。另外美国参议院公布的终结两房的议案，两房将逐渐关闭，美国房屋市场复苏或将面临威胁。海外市场方面，中国周末宣布扩大人民币波动幅度，人民币短期内或将继续贬值。
【技术分析】
日线来看，这根吞没型阴线，打破了5连阳的上涨通道，现在布林带依旧上行，整体均线也显示上行，MACD红柱缩量，RSI指标向下勾头发散，现货黄金多头势能有所减弱空头有很强的动力。4小时线来看，布林带走平，MACD绿柱开始放量，死叉进一步打开，RSI指标向下发散，总体呈现弱势格局。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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