美国经济有望走强 现货黄金走势震荡回撤
关键字:美国经济、现货黄金走势
【基本面】
数据显示美国2月非农就业人数增加17.5万,高于市场预期的14-15万(高盛预期12.5万),私营部门就业人数增加16.2万,高于预期的15.5万,造业部门就业增加0.6万,政府部门就业增加增长1.3万;1月从11.3万上修至12.9万;失业率从6.6%升至6.7%,因找工作的人数增加,但并不是所有的都找到了工作。该数据如此强劲令市场大感意外,因此前公布的ADP和ISM服务业PMI中的就业分项指标均远不及预期,且市场担忧恶劣天气将继续影响美国企业招聘,令许多机构下调了2月份的非农预期。强劲的数据就像一颗定心丸,缓解了此前市场的担忧。
随着天气影响的消散,美国经济有望进一步走强。随着消费者信心上升以及消费支出的增长,市场普遍预计美国经济增速将高于3%,前美联储主席伯南克也表示美国经济将实现3%的增长。在增长前景亮丽以及融资利率依然很低的背景下,美股涨势有望延续。
【技术分析】
日线依旧保持着高位整理,不过整体来看更像是伦敦金价格站上1300之后的旗形整理,目前主图指标上来看似乎有震荡的可能,BOLL上轨已经开始缩口,而MACD虽然高位死叉,但是长期均线MA20和MA30的金叉角度依然比较大,即便是回撤力度也比较有限。
4小时格局则是非常明显的震荡走势,上方的阻力已经经过数次确认在1353-1355一线,而下方的支撑则位于1331-1332一线,虽然非农夜一波诱空击穿了该位置,但是依然改变不了该位置的强支撑,预计伦敦金行情将继续维持。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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