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现货黄金走势窄幅盘整 未有明确方向

关键字:现货黄金走势

【基本面】

美国2月ADP就业人数仅仅增加13.9万,远不及预期的15.8万,前值从17.5万大幅下修至12.7万。美国供应管理协会2月非制造业指数为51.6,预估为53.5,1月为54.0;2月非制造业指数为2010年2月来最低。先前公布的就业指标令2月非农就业数据蒙上一阴影,许多机构因此下跌非农预期,因此2月非农就业数据不及预期可能不会令市场感到意外。尽管近期美国经济数据普遍走软,但美股依然强势挺升,延续一贯的牛市行情。

由此可以看出,投资者依然看好美国经济前景。此前美联储前主席伯南克表示美国GDP增幅有望达到3%,而市场也普遍认为近期数据主要是受到恶劣天气的影响,随着天气影响的褪去,美国经济将再度走强,企业盈利将继续增长。这是市场坚定看涨美股的重要基础。美联储周三发布的褐皮书表示,在12个联储地区中有8个“报告经济活动水平好转,但多数属于适中至温和。”纽约和费城地区报告经济活动下降,“主要归因于这些地区反常的极端天气,该报告表明美联储对美国经济增长前景依然乐观。

【技术分析】

黄金早段仍于缓慢窄幅盘整(1332.28-1338.84) 未有明确方向,亚洲时段迄今约7吨成交量而市场于明天美非农数据(预期15万及失业率6.6%)前观望气氛浓厚。短期宜密切观察1305及1360以作后向启示;今天预期金价仍于1330-1340上落机会较大,倾向采区间买卖并紧设止损策略。

支持位:1320/1330

阻力位:1340/1350

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