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美国经济难快速增长 黄金现货走势恢复上行动力

关键字:美国经济、黄金现货走势

【基本面】

美国上周初请失业金人数为32.3万,低于市场预期33.8万,此前一周为34.8万,明天即将公布2月份非农就业数据,市场预期为14万,非农数据的好坏短期内或将决定股市走势。另外美国1月工厂订单月率下降0.7%,市场预期下降0.5%。日内美联储公布的数据显示受股市上涨与房屋升值影响,美国的家庭净资产已经升至历史新高。

日内美联储官员的讲话也受到市场关注。费城联储主席普罗索表示了对 QE可能造成的意外结果表示非常担心,美国经济可能难以出现以前的快速增长,普罗索也发表了对于目前乌克兰局势的看法,他认为这只会在短期内增加市场的波动性。亚特兰大联储主席洛克哈特称美国第一季度经济数据疲软的主要原因是寒冷天气,2月份的非农就业数据可能也不会很好,美联储应该继续削减资产购买规模。乌克兰局势依然是市场关注重点,美国总统奥巴马称克里米亚公投违反国际法,美国与俄罗斯的关系依然僵持,这对于股市或许是一个潜在的威胁。

【技术分析】

黄金昨日晚间呈震荡上行走势,从4小时的图上来看,均线系统的粘合状态有所改观。MACD指标的快慢线在0轴附近运行,绿色动能柱变化不大。RSI指标在50线附近运行,短期内有轻微的向下指示。整体来看,黄金价格的上行趋势仍保持良好,上升动力有所恢复。日后仍需关注价格对于上方的层层压力的突破情况, 并且关注下方均线的支撑作用。

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