人民币贬值 国际现货黄金影响不大
关键字：人民币贬值、国际现货黄金
【行情分析】
由于最近人民币贬值，上海黄金交易所现货金出现罕见的贴水行情。昨日上海黄金交易所现货金低于国际金价约3美元。而在节前，国内现货金与国际金价之间的升水仍在10-20美元之间徘徊。
人民币自1月14日触及6.0411之后，美元/人民币汇率出现大幅反弹，截至昨日收盘，该价格收于6.1261。人民币兑美元贬值大约1.4%，而与此同时，国际金价却在突破200日均线之后，保持上涨态势。
大多分析师认为，人民币贬值背后有央行的意图，本币贬值会刺激黄金成交量。
根据上海黄金交易所的数据显示，周二Au9999成交量超过26吨。
【技术分析】
从月线图看，国际现货黄金1月收略带上引线的小阳，吞没12月阴柱中点，本月金价光脚大阳拉升，MACD死叉缩量，MFI超卖向上勾头，整体反弹需求仍在增加。
从周线图看，上周收十字小阳，本周再创新高，布林带微微开口，MACD金叉放量，金价突破5、10、20、30周均线，形态上如本人此前的预期，在走W底反弹，1332已经突破，日内继续上攻的概率较大，同时需要注意一点，多项指标超买严重，大田金业分析师认为高位直接追多风险太大。
从日线图看，昨日收带上下引线的小阳，5日均线支撑金价上扬，布林带转为向上开口，MACD金叉持续缩量，多项附图指标接近超买，每次创新高后出现承压，便是空头介入的时机，反复操作，会有意外收获。
从4小时图看，MACD金叉缩量，均线系统重新多头排列，布林带向上开口，突破前期高点！
预测本日金价在1350-1330内行走。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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