国际现货黄金短期下跌 中长线仍保持上行
关键字：国际现货黄金
【基本面】
日本央行公布1月22日会议纪要显示，称很多委员认为需要清晰表达QE并非严格限制于两年内的时间框架；一些委员称需要明确解释在上调销售税后增长放缓已被日本央行计入预估内，而且，委员们认为在上调销售税后日本经济将仍处于正面的经济周期循环中。市场普遍预期日央行将进一步放宽政策，不过由于日央行行长黑田东彦对于经济改善充满乐观，2月利率决议上日央行展期贷款计划，努力恢复市场及企业信心，使得进一步宽松的预期有所减弱，日内市场情绪小幅提升，亚洲股市普遍上涨，美元/日元受日经上涨提振。
本周末二十国集团G20将在澳大利亚举行会议，IMF及各国财长将就全球经济诸多争议性问题进行讨论和谈判。其中可能包括新兴市场国家对于发达国家货币正常化的指责；全球央行加强协作以确保稳定的提议；对于欧元区贸易盈余的国家是否扩大投资刺激国内需求，为全球经济提供更多市场需求；以及关于国际贸易等问题。
日内经济数据重点关注英国公布部门借贷，零售销售数据，加拿大零售销售及CPI数据，美国成屋销售数据。晚间还有美联储官员讲话。
【技术分析】
四小时K线在布林带中轨位置反复拉伸，布林带窄幅缩口，其短中长周期均线向上延伸，附图MACD在0轴上方死叉持平运行，指标偏弱，短期黄金还将继续下探测试下方支撑；日K线上，K线运行于布林带中上轨位置，布林带开口上行，短周期MA5、MA10均线有反转迹象，但中长期均线依然延续上行，日内黄金操作可先空后多，支撑关注1310位置。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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