黄金现货走势上扬 全赖黄金ETF增持支撑
关键字:黄金现货走势
周四凌晨3点公布的美联储1月28~29日政策会议记录显示,多位委员希望美联储缩减购债是“可推测”的,除非经济表现令美联储感到意外,否则美联储将在每次会议缩减购债100亿美元。此外还显示,决策者接近决定如何针对美联储在未来一段时间保持低利率的承诺做出调整。
进入2014年以来金价之所以能够表现坚挺,与市场押注新任联储主席耶伦的政策主张将偏于宽松有很大关系。由于耶伦作为大学教授期间,多篇著作和演说中提及货币政策时,均表示在稳定通胀与控制失业之间宁愿选择后者。由此不难解释市场对其印象偏于鸽派的原因。然而,至少到目前为止,耶伦本人并未透露出任何偏于宽松的立场。无论是此次的议息会议纪录还是上周在国会证词中,她基本都坚持了伯南克在位时的一些政策主张,其中最为突出的,便是坚定缩减量化宽松政策规模。
其次,黄金ETF增仓有助于2月份金价上涨。截止到2月18日,美国SPDR Gold Trust基金公司的黄金ETF持仓量本月已累计增仓8吨。与2013年的持续流出相比,黄金ETF增仓助推了今年年初金价的上扬。
本日金价预测区间1308-1332美元。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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