非农数据疲软 国际现货黄金逢高做空
关键字：国际现货黄金
【基本面】
从联储政策前景来看，数据影响与联储本身都十分确定。即便1月非农业就业人数弱于预期6.7万，总体11.3万的指标仍呈正值。更重要的是，失业率进一步下降至6.6%。即便介于目前的劳动参与率，怀疑失业率说服力的人不在少数，但目前该指标仍是美联储制订政策的门坎。我们已经在去年6月达到了7%门坎，联储当时开始具体地讨论削减QE，目前的数字非常接近6.5%，意味着联储可能会开始有关加息的讨论。而交易者亦当关注来自于联储官员的言论。芝加哥联储主席查尔斯•埃文斯 (委员会中最激进的鸽派) 称削减面临很大障碍。而令一方面，达拉斯联储主席费舍尔与费城联储主席普罗索 (皆为鹰派) 则称需要更大规模的削减。
【技术分析】
国际现货黄金月线收取一根光脚小阳柱，附图指标MACD还是死叉放量。周线收取一根稍带上下影线的小阳柱，附图指标MACD金叉放量。从日K线图看，黄金价格在周五收取一根带上下影线的阳柱，布林带缩口，附图指标MACD形成金叉，RSI上翘。从四小时图看，布林带开口，黄金价格运行于布林带上轨上方，附图指标MACD还是死叉，RSI走平。整体来看，国际黄金价格若突破上方1274阻力则会继续上破，在没有重大消息指引下操作上大田官网分析师建议朋友们可区间内高空低多操作，破位顺势进行，严格止损止盈。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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