1.29国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:1.29国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【基本面】
数据编撰机构Markit本周一公布的数据显示,美国1月服务业活动扩张势头加快,升至四个月高位。美国1月服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)初值升至56.6,创2012年9月以来最高,预期56.2,12月终值55.7。Markit在报告中指出,鉴于新订单和就业分项的下滑,美国1月民间部门活动的增长速度有所放缓。此外,该报告还显示,美国1月Markit综合PMI初值跌至56.0,12月终值为56.1;而1月Markit综合就业分项指数跌至53.9,12月终值55.0。本周金融市场,美联储将成为市场焦点。由于美国经济改善,市场广泛预计美联储将继续缩减购债规模,但此举也导致新兴市场大跌。美联储决策者预计将在1月28-29日会议上确认收紧政策的趋势,这也是伯南克的最后一次会议。市场预期美联储基本肯定会再度缩减100亿美元月度购债规模,从目前的750亿美元降至650亿美元。
【技术分析】
昨日金价早间开盘于1254.8美元/盎司,亚欧盘时段最高冲次1260一线宽幅整理,美盘时段承压回落自1248.68美元/盎司,最终收盘于1256.5美元/盎司,整体来看,昨日(1.28)金价依旧维持在1248-1260一线整理;从日线图来看,金价依价维持在MA5、MA10、布尔中轨之间宽幅整理,布尔缩口收走平,金价跌破至布尔中轨(1247)支撑,MACD附图指标红色动能衰减,KDJ、RSI形成死叉,指数于50;从4小时看,现货黄金整体承下降趋势,多次试途冲破1260一线后回落,MA5、MA10交叉开口下承自布尔中轨(1260)与MA30粘合,MACD指标负值增强,绿色动能放量,RSI三线逐渐放开走平;从1小时看,MA30与布尔中轨(1255)一线形成阻力,MA5与MA10交叉附与MA120下方,布尔缩口收拢,附图指标MACD放量,红色动能有所加强,KDJ、RSI形成死叉,三线勾头向下指于40附近;上方应关注1260-1265-1270一线阻力位,下方应关注1245-1242-1235支撑位。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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