英央行加息不变 现货黄金陷入盘整
关键字：现货黄金走势、现货黄金盘整
【基本面分析】
日内将公布英国2013年第四季度GDP初值，市场预期将增长2.8%。英央行加息的预期仍然是支撑英镑走高的主要因素，投资者本周重点关注经济增长数据和英国央行行长的讲话。上周五英镑大幅下挫，主要因为英央行行长卡尼称英镑升值将抑制出口增长，该言论打压英镑快速走低。虽然货币政策委员会MPC将在2月份调整前瞻指引，仍将在一段时间内保持非常规刺激力度。但近期英国经济数据的大幅向好，受基本面支撑，市场预期英国央行的加息压力逐渐增大。英国首相对经济预期表现也较为乐观。英国首相卡梅伦周一表示，近期数据显示英国经济复苏均衡，英国经济正在向前发展，并创造就业。
日本经济财政大臣甘利明今日表示，由於当前的日元汇率走势可能推高能源进口成本，贸易逆差恐会进一步扩大。能源成本上涨，日本国内核电站关闭後需要增加进口化石燃料来弥补缺口，再加上日元贬值推高进口价格，导致进口额大幅上升。尽管目前市场避险情绪上升为日元提供支撑，但并能改变日元中长期的下跌走势，本周四美联储公布利率决议前，汇率或将维持震荡走势。
日内经济数据重点关注德国进口物价指数，英国第四季度GDP数据，美国耐用品订单以及消费者信心指数。
【技术分析】
国际现货黄金价格在昨日收出了一根实体相对较大的阴线，并形成阴线吞没形态(阴包阳)，随即价格运行到1255美元/盎司一线，而昨日的最低点在1251美元/盎司附近，且触及之后向上回升势头良好，本日亚市尾盘，国际现货黄金价格交投于1259美元/盎司一线，现货金目前运行在60分钟布林线中轨下方，但多头仍不死心，欲重回60布林线中轨上方，短线1260处迎来争夺。后市视乎金价能否站稳1255位置
预计本日国际现货黄金价格在1255-1270波动。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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