美元指数冲高回落 现货黄金行情见顶回落
关键字：现货黄金行情、美元指数
【基本面】
国际货币基金组织(IMF)于1月21日上调对全球经济增长的预估，为将近两年半来首次。相比2013年10月份的预估，IMF将2014年全球经济增长预期上调0.1个百分点至3.7%，并警告称，发达经济体通胀下行风险非常低，但若经济活动面临负面冲击，则恐出现通缩。
国际货币基金组织(IMF)首席经济学家布兰乍得1月21日表示，并不认为美联储会过早退出大规模货币宽松政策；美国就业参与率偏低，这可能会让美联储在缩减大规模债券购买计划上的决策变得错综复。
欧洲央行管委诺沃特尼1月21日表示，欧洲央行可能会上调经济增长预期，并重申欧元区既没有通胀风险也没有通缩风险，政策将维持宽松。
英国工业联合会(CBI)1月21日公布的数据显示，英国1月CBI工业订单差值为负2，预期正10，前值正12；工业产出预期差值正23；工业物价预期差值正20；工业出口订单差值负16。
【行情分析】
金价自1260水平受阻，料已见顶回落，关键仍在1235水平支持。瑞士信贷分析师Tom担心现货黄金价格可能在2014年跌至950美元，平均价在1080美元，超过3分之一的分析师预测黄金平均价在1200美元。普遍分析师预测较为分歧，而昨晚IMF上调14年全球经济增长预测至3.7，金价受压，美元靠隐，料于1248水平受阻，破1235再沽，下试1200水平。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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