美联储或将再次减码 现货黄金市场受压
关键字：现货黄金市场
【行情分析】
从美元方面看，美联储12月19日开始宣布削减QE，未来不出意外还将以每月100亿美元的速度继续削减。削减QE的预期是2013年下半年全球金融市场的核心话题，任何相关的风吹草动都往往会引起市场剧烈震荡。而新年伊始，无论是美元、美债收益率，都还没有因为削减QE而出现显著的方向，未来美元流动性的逐步收紧或许还会逐步写入金融市场的价格中，包括金价的走低。 全球通胀水平同样是黄金市场的重要影响因子，全球通胀的走高将使得黄金作为对冲通胀保值产品再度受到欢迎。然而目前G10经济体通胀普遍偏低，这些国家通胀的上升将有利于其经济的可持续性复苏，从而打压黄金。中国、印度、巴西等通胀较高的国家中，通胀的上升或有利于提振金价。
【技术分析】
1234为boll带中轨和前一波大涨的起始点位，故此位置能守稳，那么昨日的迅速回落行情可理解为上涨延续行情，而非悲观的直接转趋势了。急速下跌行情，那么趋势便偏空，激进者操作直接参考前期重点支撑位1245-1248沽空，带小止损即可。做多方面暂时不急，待美盘看回落力度而定，中长线来看，分析师依然是看好金银后市上涨的。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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