市场缺乏消息 现货黄金价格或面临下行风险
关键字：现货黄金价格
【基本面】
时值美国假期，道琼斯FXCM美元指数苦守阵地。由于目前RSI看跌背离仍然有效，在1月29日美联储会议前，美元或进一步大幅回调。
在其技术走势以外，将在瑞士达沃斯召开的2014世界经济论坛中，将有来自于全球各央行的多位首脑出面发言，或引起市场的震荡；另外，即便美联储官员们仍在讨论进一步削减100亿美元的事宜，但有关全球经济的保守的评论或激发市场避险情绪。
如美元指数下破或意味着汇价将大幅回调，如本周后半段出炉的基本面消息打压市场对美国经济强势复苏前景的预期，美元指数或将进一步威胁其月度区间（10,619）。
【行情分析】
从上周开始市场上一直缺乏重要消息推动，换句话说金价近期的反弹更多的是技术上的修正，并没有实质的利好能够提供支撑，当然由于金价处于低位，实物需求会有所增加，但是一方面实物需求会随着金价的反弹而走弱，另一方面毕竟实物需求对金价影响有限。当前随着金价反弹面临下行趋势线阻力，如果再无确切利好消息推动，短期内将会再度面临下行风险，至于是否能恢复去年来的跌势，关键还是看随后美联储方面有没有进一步举动，特别是在本月随后的美联储利率决议上是否会进一步缩减QE政策。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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