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美联储未出现变动 现货黄金行情盘整

关键字:现货黄金行情

【基本面】

1月10日公布的12月非农报告打了市场一个措手不及。之前市场已经越来越倾向认为美联储将会在2014年稳步缩减QE规模,而非农就业增长的大幅缩水令市场开始动摇。非农就业相较前值减少超过12万的结果,打消了失业率来到6.7%的喜悦,导致美元录得近八周以来最大幅度的跌幅。之后,美联储官员试图安抚市场的不安。

上周,多位美联储官员发表讲话,强调进一步缩减QE的可能性──而且很可能是在1月29日的会议上。不管是今年有投票权或者没有投票权的官员,也不论离场是鸽派或者鹰派,在讲话中都强调了整体经济正在复苏,就业市场以及房地产市场在不断提升。一些官员也表示了12月非农就业并不应过分侧重。与此同时,越来越多的官员提到了QE的成本问题。而且,官员们均表达了今年进一步缩减QE规模的必要性。

在市场重拾对于利率预期的前景后,美元出现反弹。不过,未来进一步的走强仍需要进一步的刺激。由于下周美联储议息会议在即,故而本周关于联储政策前景预期将是市场的焦点。

 

【行情分析】

今天马丁路德金纪念日金,美国金融市场休市。预计今日不会出现太大波动,金价将维持于1250上方高位整理。今日建议在先冲高1260上方刷新高点受阻后都可空单操作,反之如若先行出现回落1250/1248一线可介入多单。

操作建议:

1、金价上方触及1260-1262附近做空,止损3.8个点,目标看1256-1254一线

2、金价下方触及1250-1248一线做多,止损4个点,目标看1256-1258一线

3、上方如果有效破位1265,回调1260附近做多,止损1256下方,上看1268-1270一线

 

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