美元延续强势 国际现货黄金承较强压力
关键字：国际现货黄金
【基本面】
美元上周上涨至四个月高位，这是否意味着美元将在一月剩下时间里延续强势？虽然美元上周的表现令人影响深刻，道琼斯FXCM美元指数更是罕见的连续四天上涨，然而，上周美国方面并没有特别的经济数据支撑美元的强势。过去一周美元的表现似乎更应该被概括为“反弹”，未来进一步的走强仍需要额外东风助阵。
对于美元来讲，目前一个大的基本面背景是美国经济的复苏，以及美国利率相对于其他国家更快上升的预期。我们看到这些因素在过去几个月持续发酵。然而，虽然基本面因素不断好转，不过美元的反应并未如预期般强烈。这也意味着不断累积的基本面利好下，美元很有可能在未来某个节点会突然发飙。
【技术分析】
国际黄金价格在1250美元存在较强压力，该位置是金价中长期下降压力线位置，同时也是此前一轮金价反弹的高位区域。但从短期来看，经过多次冲击未果后，行情进入回调期，并有望再次测试1220美元的支撑。因此，短线不宜盲目看高金价反弹高度，大田金业分析师建议投资者适时获利了结多头，等待再次抄底的机会。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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