美股仍有上涨空间 国际现货黄金上行缓
关键字:国际现货黄金
【基本面】
美股连续两天大涨之后,期货盘今日陷入高位整理,三大股指期货目前下跌0.1%。21:30将公布美国12月通胀率和上涨初请失业金人数,同时美联储主席伯南克也将发表其卸任前的最后一次讲话。
受到近期利好财报的刺激,过去两个交易日美股再次大幅反弹,收复了周一的全部跌势。目前道指期货和标普500指数期货均位于历史高位附近。目前市场依然以正面消息主导,包括美国经济数据、企业财报和全球宏观形势。昨日公布的美国12月生产者物价指数年率升幅从0.7%升至1.2%,侧面反映出美国制造业的复苏。
财报方面,本周公布的美国银行和富国银行利润均大幅增长,带动银行板块大涨。今日公布的高盛第四季度收入为87.8亿美元,高于预期的77.5亿美元。花旗第四季度营收为179.4亿美元,低于预期183.1亿美元。今日公布的两大银行财报稍逊一些,引发期货盘小幅下跌。结利盘也可能是导致期货走低的因素。
对于目前的美股来说,因美国经济复苏动能增强,且美联储在更长时间内维持超低的利率水平,这使得企业仍有较大的盈利空间。尽管EPS升至多年高位,但从更长的时间跨度来看,美股仍有上涨空间。
【技术分析】
黄金今日周线收官,目前来看,黄金现货整体上冲动能减缓,整体任然在修复短期指标寻求反弹中,但小周期来看,多头有所耗竭。日线图K线布林中轨上方运行,未能打开空间,小周期持续走平,还未见到修复完成的迹象。黄金关注阻力:1244、1249、1253;下方支撑:1237、1233、1228、1224。
操作建议:
1、1243、1244可轻仓做空,止损1247,目标1239、1235、1231
2、突破1246则回踩1239、1240做多,止损1235,目标1244、1248、1253
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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