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美国经济数据向好 黄金现货走势偏空

关键字:美国经济、黄金现货走势

【行情分析】

昨晚美国公布的数据显示,12月零售销售月率增长0.2%,预期增长0.1%,前值修正为增长0.4%,初值增长0.7%。

而美国商务部发布报告称,美国11月商业库存月率增长0.4%,预期增长0.3%,至1.6999万亿美元。10月份该数据修正后为月率增长0.8%,初值为增加0.7%。

另外费城联储主席普罗索昨晚表示,美国经济增长速度较过去数年更加稳健,美联储倾向于2014年底结束购债。他同时预计到2014年底,美国的失业率将达到6.2%,而通胀将会向2%靠拢。所以金价马上受压由1255左右位置回调至1240,相信短期内黄金会以上落市为主,价位分别在1226至1263,直至突破一方才会出现明显走势。

 

【技术分析】

日线MACD指标均线开口向上,但已显疲惫,红色动能柱缩短,有回调的需求;KDJ指标均线死叉向下运行,趋势偏空;RSI指标均线勾头向下发展,有回调的动能。四小时图,MACD指标均线死叉向下发展,绿色动能柱增长,趋势偏空;KDJ指标均线开口向下运行,趋势偏空;RSI指标均线勾头向下运行,有回调的动能。从四小时布林通道来看,金价已经下穿中轨,正向下轨运行。

操作建议:

1、金价反弹到1243~1246一线做空,止损1252,目标看1238~1231;

2、一线;如果在1231~1235一线得支撑做多,止损1226,目标看1238~1243一线。

 

【今日关注】

05:45     NZ  食品价格指数

07:50     JP   M2+CD货币供应量(年比)

08:30     AU  新机动车辆销售(月比)

08:30     AU  新机动车辆销售(年比)

n/a NZ  REINZ房价指数(月率)

14:00     JP   机床订单(年比)

16:15     CH  调整后实际零售销售额(年比)

18:00     UK  领先指标

18:00     EMU      未经季度调整后贸易额

18:00     EMU      季度调整后贸易额

 

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