加元下跌 现货黄金行情看空
关键字：现货黄金行情
【基本面】
受到经济数据疲软的驱动，今日加元大幅下跌，加拿大11月贸易帐意外出现逆差，并且达到9.4亿加元，而预期则是顺差由上月的0.75亿加元增大至1.5亿加元；随后的采购经理人指数也大幅差于预期，尽管预期同样自上月的53.7回落，但实际季调后的回落幅度远高于市场预期，仅为46.3，远差于预期的52。受到数据疲软的影响，加元迅速大跌，美元/加元突破了近期的震荡区间，大幅站上1.0700整数关，距离2010年5月的高点仅一步之遥。考虑到加拿大与美国经济的密切相关性，我们也许应该从加拿大疲软的数据中嗅到一丝关于美国经济的危险气息，当然，这都只是推测而已。
【技术分析】
从日线来看，金价四连阳后迎来一根上下影线几乎等长的小阴柱，上个交易日金价一再击穿MA30（1228）一线，最终在布林中轨1223附近获得支撑，本波金价的强劲反弹还不能判定为行情翻转，美联储逐步退出QE的政策已定，黄金的总体技术面、消息面是看空的。从4小时图看，金价测试1248承压，目前在1229一线交投，布林带缩口，今日黄金价格可以逢高做空，黄金价格上方关注1236-1245；下方关注1223-1213。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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